What Happens Now?
Monday, April 28th, 2008By Ryan (Politics Category Editor)
With a convincing win in Pennsylvania Clinton has yet again survived to fight another day. The stakes are now higher than ever though. For Clinton Indiana is a must win. The margin doesn’t matter all that much, only the win. Obama was ahead in Indiana, but now his lead is diminishing to a neck and neck, minute by minute coin toss. If Clinton wins Indiana she affirms her right to stay in the race longer. If Clinton gets a loss the prospects are much grimmer. The super delegate tide is already a break towards Obama and a loss in Indiana would only shift that tide further.
North Carolina is a null point. There’s no way the state will goto Clinton, it’s an affirmative Obama win. The question is can Clinton not only win Indiana but drive Obama’s margin of victory down to 5 percent or less in Carolina? That type of win on May 6th would spell disaster for Obama.
For Obama to win Indiana he has to flood the state with as much advertising as possible, if he isn’t already and rid himself of the “elitist” frame. The best move made by Clinton was framing Obama into an elitist candidate even if he wasn’t. Trying to get rid of the frame will prove difficult especially in the time before May 6th. A awe inspiring speech could work but it’s risky, there’s a chance it backfires and makes him look like a talker and not a doer.
Finally, the notion that the Democratic nomination process is good for the party is malarkey. The party is splintering and voters are getting bored and annoyed by the length of the campaign. Yes registrations are way up and turnout is phenomenal, but the trend for some 40 years has been a lessening in voter turnout. This process does nothing but reaffirm voters dissatisfaction with the political system.
Who’ll last longer Robert Mugabe or Hillary Clinton?
Will Obama be able to win both the Indiana and North Carolina primaries on May 6th?
Will Hillary Clinton withdraw from the nomination race before the Democratic Convention?
Popularity: 11% [?]
