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Will Twitter Become The Friendster Of Micro-blogging?

Twitter is currently the daddy of the micro-blogging/social sharing space with 1.7 million monthly unique US visitors in May according to Compete. Growth has been rocketing with the number of uniques rocketing in the past 6 months. However growth has brought problems of frequent downtime. Twitter Fail Whale

Frustration with Twitter has led a number of bloggers to look for alternatives. Some bloggers are now claiming that FriendFeed will become the Twitter killer. A great product coupled with fast development cycles and good uptime means have resulted in fast growth with FriendFeed achieving 300,000 uniques within 3 months of launch.

Some tech innovators manage to overcome early scaling problems to go on to build highly successful companies (e.g. eBay). Others, like Friendster, blaze the trail only to see competitors surpass them and take the main prize. Will Twitter become the Friendster of micro-blogging?

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% chance over time

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    2009
    2010
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    2012+ or never

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